Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.501243 3.811562 4.170184 4.624673 5.200589 5.930663 6.974495
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.088879 3.469838 3.944203 4.606207 5.563435 7.024396 9.830324
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.805163 3.202752 3.718014 4.478223 5.674205 7.769862 13.142118
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.684489 3.115436 3.697400 4.609641 6.195847 9.558267 25.234035
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.504247 2.925634 3.504473 4.435861 6.131987 10.108037 42.365796
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.352396 2.760025 3.326206 4.253179 5.995813 10.399306 91.549787
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.248465 2.651797 3.219638 4.169600 6.029936 11.250046 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.211152 2.632506 3.240680 4.300605 6.553594 14.647946 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.197062 2.643921 3.307745 4.523164 7.400789 23.626255 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.143594 2.593772 3.272592 4.548894 7.766334 34.800458 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.099565 2.554436 3.250732 4.596263 8.229978 75.425017 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.016853 2.453073 3.120267 4.407605 7.870510 67.708931 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.971504 2.408374 3.084672 4.419217 8.229835 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.924033 2.358253 3.036751 4.399547 8.488189 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.864593 2.287145 2.948828 4.283313 8.334546 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.847439 2.279675 2.968012 4.402577 9.212797 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.789183 2.206214 2.868995 4.244786 8.800108 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.732461 2.133581 2.768810 4.078207 8.320447 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.692558 2.085913 2.710089 4.001755 8.237561 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.684602 2.087387 2.736446 4.121523 9.141843 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.687492 2.105764 2.793591 4.324138 10.793474 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.666075 2.084621 2.778278 4.347494 11.443099 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 1.648174 2.068398 2.770942 4.390454 12.344499 NaN NaN